West London rag reporting were set to double his wages and close to signing???
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This ain't gonna happen, and tbh if it's getting to the point where if we can get someone who can adequately do the job for a lot less then let this fish go back in the sea.
Not worried about spending the money as Arry and TF/board seem happy to do so, but don't like this holding us to ransom almost, and if he does sign i hope he don't get a buyout clauseLast edited by QPRDave; 08-07-2014, 06:20 PM.
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Originally posted by brightonr View PostWould be interested to know as I wouldn't take odds of 1/7 on a player signing for anybody unless I saw him walking into the ground getting his pen out.
Now in this case they were 1/7 because they must have had intelligence that this was virtually a done deal. At this stage Palace were a lot longer than they've ended up. Then through wedge on Palace at that longer price they were forced to go out on QPR. The Palace punt must have gathered momentum so the pattern of them shortening up and us going out continued, because obviously that is how you make a book. A rush to get on is its own intelligence - obviously you look at who is getting stuck in, and if they have form you take notice.
Bookmakers survive by making money out of speculation, that is why they are still in business. They can only stay that why by being clued up. Yes, they have a few reliable journos on the books but the horse's mouth sometimes sells the info instead of having a bet on it: insider trading works in different ways. For example, sometimes a deal can be done but it doesn't go public for a while.....
Re JT's - for the average bloke, carefully monitoring the markets will nearly always be a more reliable pointer than any single news source. IMO.Last edited by hal9thou; 08-07-2014, 03:37 PM.
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Originally posted by hal9thou View PostYou have to try and make a book so the contingencies balance up - in other words so you cover yourself even if the jolly romps home.
Now in this case they were 1/7 because they must have had intelligence that this was virtually a done deal. At this stage Palace were a lot longer than they've ended up. Then through wedge on Palace at that longer price they were forced to go out on QPR. The Palace punt must have gathered momentum so the pattern of them shortening up and us going out continued, because obviously that is how you make a book. A rush to get on is its own intelligence - obviously you look at who is getting stuck in, and if they have form you take notice.
Bookmakers survive by making money out of speculation, that is why they are still in business. They can only stay that why by being clued up. Yes, they have a few reliable journos on the books but the horse's mouth sometimes sells the info instead of having a bet on it: insider trading works in different ways. For example, sometimes a deal can be done but it doesn't go public for a while.....
Re JT's - for the average bloke, carefully monitoring the markets will nearly always be a more reliable pointer than any single news source. IMO.
I do understand how it works, but my point was more along the lines of them offering 1/7 in the first place. You have pretty much confirmed exactly the point we were making, in as much as their so called intelligence was well wide of the mark.
Let's hope nobody put money on at 1/7.
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