I've looked at past three seasons to see where the clubs that were in top 6 after 11 games ended the season.
I was mildly surprised to see that 61% of them are still in top 6 at end of the season. In fact, if you ignore Bristol City inexplicably tumbling down the table TWICE, virtually every team in top 6 after 11 games is still there (or very nearly there) at end of the season.
Below are the top 6 tables after ELEVEN games for past 3 seasons followed by their FINAL league position:
2020/21
Reading 22pts 7th
Watford 21pts 2nd
Norwich 21pts 1st
Bournemouth 20pts 6th
Bristol C 20pts 19th!!!!!!
Swansea 19pts 4th
2019/20
West Brom 22pts 2nd
Forest 22pts 7th
Preston 21pts 9th
Swansea 21pts 6th
Leeds 20pts 1st
Bristol C 20pts 12th
2018/19
Leeds 22pts 3rd
Middlesbro 22pts 7th
Sheff Utd 22pts 2nd
West Brom 21pts 4th
Norwich 18pts 1st
Brentford 17pts 11th
It kinda looks like it's the "surprise packages" you'd possibly not expect to get promoted that are the clubs that fall away, but simple fact is most of sides in top 6 after 11 games finish in the top 6 too. I think the heartening thing is even those who don't make it are still in contention and sniffing about.
I was mildly surprised to see that 61% of them are still in top 6 at end of the season. In fact, if you ignore Bristol City inexplicably tumbling down the table TWICE, virtually every team in top 6 after 11 games is still there (or very nearly there) at end of the season.
Below are the top 6 tables after ELEVEN games for past 3 seasons followed by their FINAL league position:
2020/21
Reading 22pts 7th
Watford 21pts 2nd
Norwich 21pts 1st
Bournemouth 20pts 6th
Bristol C 20pts 19th!!!!!!
Swansea 19pts 4th
2019/20
West Brom 22pts 2nd
Forest 22pts 7th
Preston 21pts 9th
Swansea 21pts 6th
Leeds 20pts 1st
Bristol C 20pts 12th
2018/19
Leeds 22pts 3rd
Middlesbro 22pts 7th
Sheff Utd 22pts 2nd
West Brom 21pts 4th
Norwich 18pts 1st
Brentford 17pts 11th
It kinda looks like it's the "surprise packages" you'd possibly not expect to get promoted that are the clubs that fall away, but simple fact is most of sides in top 6 after 11 games finish in the top 6 too. I think the heartening thing is even those who don't make it are still in contention and sniffing about.
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