17th currently is Sunderland or Villa, (sunderland still playing now) and projecting their 14 points from 15 games means that after 38 games they will be on just over 35 points, so hypothetically 36 points should be 17th and safety at seasons end.
Therefore we need 30 more points from our remaining 23 games, which is 1.3 points per game. Can we do it?
It means that each time we draw we are still losing ground unless we can mix it with at least a couple of wins each month. I don't want to think about what losing does to the stats, we just need to get into a habit of at least winning home games, draws are not good enough. If there are 4 games per month, then one win, two draws and one defeat each month is only 5 points and not good enough, we need 2 wins per month.
I'm not sure we can do it, but it's not as bad as I first suspected.
Therefore we need 30 more points from our remaining 23 games, which is 1.3 points per game. Can we do it?
It means that each time we draw we are still losing ground unless we can mix it with at least a couple of wins each month. I don't want to think about what losing does to the stats, we just need to get into a habit of at least winning home games, draws are not good enough. If there are 4 games per month, then one win, two draws and one defeat each month is only 5 points and not good enough, we need 2 wins per month.
I'm not sure we can do it, but it's not as bad as I first suspected.
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