2 Wins?

[Hertford Hoop]

If we win any two games (up to 85 points), it will only need Cardiff and Swansea to both draw one of their games and we're up. They can only get 87 points by winning ALL their remaining games -- dropping 2 points puts them level, but up against our vastly superior GD.
Leeds are 15 point behind us -- one win and they can't catch us.
Reading are 12 points behind us -- 2 wins and they can't either.


Hurrah!!! The R's are going up!!

[Balders1967]

If we win any two games (up to 85 points), it will only need Cardiff and Swansea to both draw one of their games and we're up. They can only get 87 points by winning ALL their remaining games -- dropping 2 points puts them level, but up against our vastly superior GD.
Leeds are 15 point behind us -- one win and they can't catch us.
Reading are 12 points behind us -- 2 wins and they can't either.

Hurrah!!! The R's are going up!!

The 'mathemactical guarantee' is the frustrating bit, if you look at us keeping to our average of 2 x points per game and so do the 3rd place club then we'll end the season on 91 x points; which theoretically means if we win tommorrow we will be on 82 points against the 3rd place club finishing the season on 81 x points (based on ave = 2pts).

So I declare: in the event of a win tommorrow - "WE ARE UP !!!!!!!!!!"

[swanleyhoop]

I'd agree that one win will probably be enough, but prefer the mathematical model!!!

[LoftusRoadLad]

Tuesday (all prediction)
Barnsley v QPR = 3 =82
Watford v Norwich = 1 = 71
Swans v Hull = 3 = 72
Sheff C v Cardiff = 3 = 72

5 Games to go available points 15
Friday
Norwich v Forest = NC win = 74
Saturday
Burnley v Swansea = 1 = 73
Cardiff v Pompy = CC win = 75
Monday
QPR v Derby = 3 = 85

4 games to go available points 12
If the above results was true, we will be promoted as the Swans cant catch up.

[maccatwo]

Tuesday (all prediction)
Barnsley v QPR = 3 =82
Watford v Norwich = 1 = 71
Swans v Hull = 3 = 72
Sheff C v Cardiff = 3 = 72

5 Games to go available points 15
Friday
Norwich v Forest = NC win = 74
Saturday
Burnley v Swansea = 1 = 73
Cardiff v Pompy = CC win = 75
Monday
QPR v Derby = 3 = 85

4 games to go available points 12
If the above results was true, we will be promoted as the Swans cant catch up.

Unless I am wrong both Norwich and Cardiff can so we would not be promoted Cardiff can get 87 Norwich 86 if your right on the results.

[LoftusRoadLad]

Yes you are right, meant to put Norwich v Forest as a draw then we would have been promoted. I was just showing that 2 wins is a possible but not a probable.