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There is one group of people who would know.

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  • Boo Radley
    Bronze Seat
    • May 2009
    • 546

    #1

    There is one group of people who would know.

    I've checked with the online bookies and they all still have us as nailed on to go up. No drift in the price is a very good indicator IMHO.

    Small comfort maybe but I'll take any and from what I understand its a heavy fine and slapped wrist.

    But remember its all academic for the time being as we still need at least another 12-15 points to secure promo, see right here and now its all about football results first!

    Boo
  • Kevster269
    Silver Seat
    • May 2009
    • 1390

    #2
    They wont lengthen our odds yet.
    If they push our odds out and then nothing happens points wise they stand to lose a fortune.
    2011-2013, 2 seasons in the Premiership, 76 games, 14 wins........two years of my life I'll never get back!!

    2013/2014 mediocrity topped off with a win at Wembley....

    2014/2015 was pretty much the same as 2011-2013.....

    2015/2016, average at best.....

    2016/2017, same old, same old....

    2017/2018, aim low, avoid disappointment!

    Its the hope that kills you!

    Comment

    • Boo Radley
      Bronze Seat
      • May 2009
      • 546

      #3
      Originally posted by Kevster269
      They wont lengthen our odds yet.
      If they push our odds out and then nothing happens points wise they stand to lose a fortune.
      Exactly my point, Nothing will happen, the odds may only shorten up.

      Comment

      • Toni German
        Silver Seat
        • Mar 2010
        • 1813

        #4
        Betfair.

        We were 1.33 to win the League. We're now 1.50.

        That's a drift.

        Comment

        • Boo Radley
          Bronze Seat
          • May 2009
          • 546

          #5
          Originally posted by Toni German
          Betfair.

          We were 1.33 to win the League. We're now 1.50.

          That's a drift.
          panic if you see a 10/1 appear.

          Comment

          • Nodge70

            #6
            Bookies will not be able to call this one. They'll sit tight. Why would they risk letting the odds drift?

            Comment

            • Bigdave
              Gold Seat
              • Apr 2009
              • 5109

              #7
              The time to reach for the bog roll is if all of a sudden people start lumping on the likes of Swansea Cardiff etc

              Comment

              • Toni German
                Silver Seat
                • Mar 2010
                • 1813

                #8
                Originally posted by Bigdave
                The time to reach for the bog roll is if all of a sudden people start lumping on the likes of Swansea Cardiff etc
                They already are. See Betfair.

                Comment

                • wicksta
                  Silver Seat
                  • Apr 2009
                  • 1149

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Toni German
                  Betfair.

                  We were 1.33 to win the League. We're now 1.50.

                  That's a drift.
                  Betfair isn't a bookies though, it's just normal people betting.

                  Comment

                  • Toni German
                    Silver Seat
                    • Mar 2010
                    • 1813

                    #10
                    Originally posted by wicksta
                    Betfair isn't a bookies though, it's just normal people betting.
                    And bookies use it as a guide. The drift will start soon.

                    Comment

                    • Toni German
                      Silver Seat
                      • Mar 2010
                      • 1813

                      #11
                      Oh look!

                      http://www.oddschecker.com/football/...ionship/winner

                      The pink ones are getting bigger and the blue ones are shortening up.

                      Comment

                      • Boo Radley
                        Bronze Seat
                        • May 2009
                        • 546

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Toni German
                        Oh look!

                        http://www.oddschecker.com/football/...ionship/winner

                        The pink ones are getting bigger and the blue ones are shortening up.
                        Nothing there to suggest a major a problem, normal daily fluctuations but I'm keeping an eye on it. we are still odds on across the board, happy for now!

                        Comment

                        • Jamie
                          Silver Seat
                          • Mar 2009
                          • 1064

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Toni German
                          Oh look!

                          http://www.oddschecker.com/football/...ionship/winner

                          The pink ones are getting bigger and the blue ones are shortening up.
                          Bookmakers react to Market conditions. If a group of Cardiff/Swansea fans lump on their team in the hope we'll get a points deduction, bookmakers have to cover their backs and shorten their odds.

                          Comment

                          • Toni German
                            Silver Seat
                            • Mar 2010
                            • 1813

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Jamie
                            Bookmakers react to Market conditions. If a group of Cardiff/Swansea fans lump on their team in the hope we'll get a points deduction, bookmakers have to cover their backs and shorten their odds.
                            Thanks for that.

                            I was a bookie for 12 years, always wondered how it worked.

                            Comment

                            • Boo Radley
                              Bronze Seat
                              • May 2009
                              • 546

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Jamie
                              Bookmakers react to Market conditions. If a group of Cardiff/Swansea fans lump on their team in the hope we'll get a points deduction, bookmakers have to cover their backs and shorten their odds.
                              True but different, look out for our odds, thats where the knowledge comes into play, yes the punters will nibble for sure but a real shift, out to say 5/4 would worry me.

                              Clutching at straws probably!

                              Comment

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