Smithies again

[SoCal]

We always bemoan our luck/ misfortune, either keeper has a blinder or #9 in a rut for 20 games gets a hatrick

So a question for Nass or anyone. If the #1 keeper in the world (probably) had a statistically normal record of saving penalties WHERE WOULD WE BE?

[Fraggy]

Mathematically relegated?

[Ginger Ninja]

I'm so confused.

[Fraggy]

I'm so confused.

I think he wants to know if Smithies pen saves were average at this level, rather than above average, what would our league position be.

[acricketer]

Smithies is a distraction for us. He will be player of the season. Whooppee!

I'd rather have a 'Smithies' of a striker than a goalie. There have never been any threads FFS WE NEED A GOALKEEPER!!!

He compensates for a $hit defence and a $hit attack...oh and a $hit midfield.

[nasser95]

5 league penalties faced this season, 4 saved, 1 conceded.

Statistically, if a penalty is hit on target, it has an 85% chance of going in. So get as close to this as possible and lets say he concedes 4 of the 5 penalties. So lets look at the worst case scenario, where we've lost the maximum points from the penalties and the 4 penalties that we will say have now gone in are:

Brighton (0:3) - Glenn Murray (was scored already)
Fulham (2:1) - Tom Cairney
Fulham (2:1) - Sone Aluko
Fulham (1:1) - Chris Martin

with Jonathan Kodjia's penalty still being saved as we had lost that match anyway.

That means 5 points lost, putting us 23rd and putting Fulham 7th, one point behind the play off spots.

[SoCal]

Thanks Nass

For those confused this is what I wanted to know, we are in a relegation battle

[nasser95]

Thanks Nass

For those confused this is what I wanted to know, we are in a relegation battle

We aren't exactly... because the fact is, we didn't concede those penalties. If we didn't have smithies... we'd be in a relegation battle. But we have only conceded 1 penalty this season and we spent money on a player and he's earned his wage.

[blueandwright]

5 points above the bottom three, I'd say that puts us in a relegation battle

[Shepherds Mush]

5 points above the bottom three, I'd say that puts us in a relegation battle

Bang on.

[Jeems]

I dont think we have more "bad luck" calls against us than any other team. Just generally, good saves and near misses aren't always noted in match reports - I'm sure if we read other teams forums and analysed their matches further, we'd see similar posts.

[Rebel R's]

I'm so confused.

I know

[Ginger Ninja]

Thanks Nass

For those confused this is what I wanted to know, we are in a relegation battle

But we already knew that...just look at the table...